Outside the usual rangeWeek 42 of 2019 (14–20 Oct)Outbreaks
Karnataka: 17 outbreaks reported in the 4 weeks to week 42 of 2019, against a median of 10 for the same weeks in 2016–18.
What happened
- 4 weeks to week 42 of 2019 (14–20 Oct)
- 17
- That week alone: 9
- median of the same 4 weeks, 2016–18
- 10
- Change
- +7
- Change, per cent
- +70%
Why it matters
A single week of outbreak reports holds only a handful of events, too few to compare. So the observatory adds up the four weeks to this one and compares the total with the median of the same four weeks in up to three earlier years; the baseline is short because reporting itself has grown. Only rises are flagged, and only when the total is at least 5 above that median, because a fall in reported outbreaks mostly means that reports did not arrive. These are outbreaks reported to IDSP, so they reflect reporting as well as disease.
For outbreaks reported, neither a rise nor a fall is better in itself, so the observatory marks this movement as unusual rather than good or bad.
Historical context
Same four weeks: 2018 7, 2017 10, 2016 16. The preceding four weeks: 18. Counts are outbreaks reported to IDSP, which reflect reporting as well as disease.
The underlying data
| Period | Value | Release | Where in the document |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 42 of 2019 | 9 | IDSP weekly outbreak report, 2019 week 42 (2019-10-14 to 2019-10-20) (Wayback Machine replay of the original IDSP file: https://idsp.mohfw.gov.in/WriteReadData/l892s/95714695921576827903.pdf) | IDSP weekly outbreak report 2019-W42, count over 9 rows for Karnataka: p.6 KN/CKR/2019/42/1343, p.6 KN/GUL/2019/42/1344, p.6 KN/KRW/2019/42/1345, p.6 KN/YDI/2019/42/1346, p.11 KN/CKR/2019/42/1367, p.12 KN/CKR/2019/42/1368, p.12 KN/CKR/2019/42/1369, p.12 KN/TUM/2019/42/1370, p.12 KN/TUM/2019/42/1371 |
| Week 41 of 2019 | 2 | IDSP weekly outbreak report, 2019 week 41 (2019-10-07 to 2019-10-13) | IDSP weekly outbreak report 2019-W41, count over 2 rows for Karnataka: p.6 KN/BEG/2019/41/1322, p.7 KN/BEG/2019/41/1323 |
| Week 40 of 2019 | 3 | IDSP weekly outbreak report, 2019 week 40 (2019-09-30 to 2019-10-06) | IDSP weekly outbreak report 2019-W40, count over 3 rows for Karnataka: p.4 KN/BEL/2019/40/1279, p.4 KN/TUM/2019/40/1280, p.9 KN/BDR/2019/40/1298 |
| Week 39 of 2019 | 3 | IDSP weekly outbreak report, 2019 week 39 (2019-09-23 to 2019-09-29) | IDSP weekly outbreak report 2019-W39, count over 3 rows for Karnataka: p.5 KN/DHA/2019/39/1244, p.5 KN/TUM/2019/39/1245, p.6 KN/YDI/2019/39/1246 |
| Week 42 of 2018 | 2 |
Source and method
More signals for outbreaks reported in Karnataka
- Karnataka: 5 outbreaks reported in week 27 of 2026, the most since week 34 of 2025.
- Karnataka: 15 outbreaks reported in the 4 weeks to week 12 of 2025, against a median of 8 for the same weeks in 2022–24.
- Karnataka: 16 outbreaks reported in the 4 weeks to week 46 of 2024, against a median of 8 for the same weeks in 2021–23.
- Karnataka: 17 outbreaks reported in the 4 weeks to week 36 of 2024, against a median of 10 for the same weeks in 2021–23.
- Karnataka: 17 outbreaks reported in the 4 weeks to week 35 of 2024, against a median of 10 for the same weeks in 2021–23.
- Karnataka: 24 outbreaks reported in the 4 weeks to week 29 of 2024, against a median of 15 for the same weeks in 2021–23.
Cite this
According to the India Health Observatory, Karnataka: 17 outbreaks reported in the 4 weeks to week 42 of 2019, against a median of 10 for the same weeks in 2016–18. Source: Integrated Disease Surveillance Programme, National Centre for Disease Control, MoHFW, IDSP weekly outbreak report, 2019 week 42 (2019-10-14 to 2019-10-20) (Wayback Machine replay of the original IDSP file: https://idsp.mohfw.gov.in/WriteReadData/l892s/95714695921576827903.pdf). https://indiahealthobservatory.com/signals/outbreaks-reported--karnataka--2019-w42--baseline_breach
See also Karnataka and 9 in context.